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Friday, November 22, 2024

Russia: Weekly Report (11.12-17.12)

This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Against the backdrop of the start of the Russian presidential election campaign, it can be stated that ideologically, Putin remains a supporter of social conservatism, focusing on social programs for Russians, traditional values, and strong state power. Serious emphasis was placed on the “Ukrainian issue.” In fact, Putin had something to say: against the backdrop of the latest foreign policy failures of the Ukrainian leadership and the unsuccessful counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, as well as the offensive of Russian troops along the entire front line, Putin tried to look like a winner. He again began to speak in the language of ultimatums and remembered the demands for “denazification” and “demilitarisation” of Ukraine. His messages to the West also stemmed from the fact that the Russian economy was able to show positive results despite the sanctions.
  • In his public speeches, Putin increasingly states that Russia has no plans for a war with NATO, and the war going on in Ukraine is a war against NATO expansion to the east. Putin makes it clear that Russia has a sphere of national interests (which includes Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia). It is not going to renounce it, but at the same time, Russia does not intend to fight with the Baltic countries, Poland, and other countries of Eastern Europe that are members of NATO. This message is essential as the fundamental basis for a possible negotiation process with the West.
  • Notably, from the perspective of Russian foreign policy, Sergei Lavrov’s statements, according to whom the main achievement of the foreign policy department this year is that the international isolation of Russia has not yielded its results and also that Russia has reached a new level of contacts with countries Global South – primarily with India, Brazil, and China. Several caustic remarks towards the European Union and NATO (Lavrov considers them dependent states) underscore the fact that Russia has returned to the rhetoric and propaganda clichés of the Cold War. At the same time, Lavrov is trying to show that Russia remains an independent factor in international politics with its mechanisms of influence on political processes in the world.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 11th – 17th  of December:

1. Press conference of Vladimir Putin;

2. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with the leaders of factions of the State Duma;

3. Vladimir Putin’s comment to the Rossiya TV channel;

4. Meeting of the boards of the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of Russia and Belarus;

5. Lavrov’s speech during the “government hour” in the Federation Council;

6. Statement by Sergei Naryshkin about the West’s desire to create a virtual “Russian Republic.”

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This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Against the backdrop of the start of the Russian presidential election campaign, it can be stated that ideologically, Putin remains a supporter of social conservatism, focusing on social programs for Russians, traditional values, and strong state power. Serious emphasis was placed on the “Ukrainian issue.” In fact, Putin had something to say: against the backdrop of the latest foreign policy failures of the Ukrainian leadership and the unsuccessful counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, as well as the offensive of Russian troops along the entire front line, Putin tried to look like a winner. He again began to speak in the language of ultimatums and remembered the demands for “denazification” and “demilitarisation” of Ukraine. His messages to the West also stemmed from the fact that the Russian economy was able to show positive results despite the sanctions.
  • In his public speeches, Putin increasingly states that Russia has no plans for a war with NATO, and the war going on in Ukraine is a war against NATO expansion to the east. Putin makes it clear that Russia has a sphere of national interests (which includes Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia). It is not going to renounce it, but at the same time, Russia does not intend to fight with the Baltic countries, Poland, and other countries of Eastern Europe that are members of NATO. This message is essential as the fundamental basis for a possible negotiation process with the West.
  • Notably, from the perspective of Russian foreign policy, Sergei Lavrov’s statements, according to whom the main achievement of the foreign policy department this year is that the international isolation of Russia has not yielded its results and also that Russia has reached a new level of contacts with countries Global South – primarily with India, Brazil, and China. Several caustic remarks towards the European Union and NATO (Lavrov considers them dependent states) underscore the fact that Russia has returned to the rhetoric and propaganda clichés of the Cold War. At the same time, Lavrov is trying to show that Russia remains an independent factor in international politics with its mechanisms of influence on political processes in the world.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 11th – 17th  of December:

1. Press conference of Vladimir Putin;

2. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with the leaders of factions of the State Duma;

3. Vladimir Putin’s comment to the Rossiya TV channel;

4. Meeting of the boards of the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of Russia and Belarus;

5. Lavrov’s speech during the “government hour” in the Federation Council;

6. Statement by Sergei Naryshkin about the West’s desire to create a virtual “Russian Republic.”

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