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Thursday, September 19, 2024

Russia: Weekly Report (11.09 – 17.09)

This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • The results of the Single Voting Day in Russia demonstrated the stability of the Kremlin system and readiness to hold presidential elections in 2024. Despite many forecasts about the strengthening of opposition forces and protest sentiments, Russian society has demonstrated absolute amorphousness and actual agreement with the actions of the Kremlin. At the same time, it is becoming increasingly noticeable that any opposition in Russia (especially one that receives funding from external sources) has completely lost its position and no longer has any influence on the political processes in the country. Although it encountered some resistance, cleansing the opposition field became effective for the Kremlin.
  • Putin’s public speeches increasingly come down to repeating the same theses: the Far East is developing at an accelerated pace; the future of Russia is logistics routes and energy; The United States lost its monopoly on hegemony; China is our friend and partner; Ukraine itself must declare its desire to sit down at the negotiating table; everything we do now will produce results only for future generations. In this context, it can be stated that it is these theses that the Russian president’s election campaign is being built on. Such a program is perceived very positively by Russian society.
  • Alexander Lukashenko’s latest visit to Russia and meeting with Vladimir Putin demonstrates that integration processes within the Union State do not stop and are developing as planned. As Ascolta has repeatedly noted, the integration’s political part could happen at the end of this year or the beginning of 2024. If such a forecast is realised, the presidential elections in Russia and several other internal political processes will be questioned.

This digest highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 11th – 17th of September:

1. Results of the Single Voting Day in Russia;

2. Plenary meeting of the Eastern Economic Forum;

3. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with Deputy Prime Minister of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China Zhang Guoqing;

4. Visit of Chairman of State Affairs of the DPRK Kim Jong-un to Russia;

5. Visit of Alexander Lukashenko to Russia;

6. Article by Nikolai Patrushev;

7. Return of General Surovikin to the public.

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This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • The results of the Single Voting Day in Russia demonstrated the stability of the Kremlin system and readiness to hold presidential elections in 2024. Despite many forecasts about the strengthening of opposition forces and protest sentiments, Russian society has demonstrated absolute amorphousness and actual agreement with the actions of the Kremlin. At the same time, it is becoming increasingly noticeable that any opposition in Russia (especially one that receives funding from external sources) has completely lost its position and no longer has any influence on the political processes in the country. Although it encountered some resistance, cleansing the opposition field became effective for the Kremlin.
  • Putin’s public speeches increasingly come down to repeating the same theses: the Far East is developing at an accelerated pace; the future of Russia is logistics routes and energy; The United States lost its monopoly on hegemony; China is our friend and partner; Ukraine itself must declare its desire to sit down at the negotiating table; everything we do now will produce results only for future generations. In this context, it can be stated that it is these theses that the Russian president’s election campaign is being built on. Such a program is perceived very positively by Russian society.
  • Alexander Lukashenko’s latest visit to Russia and meeting with Vladimir Putin demonstrates that integration processes within the Union State do not stop and are developing as planned. As Ascolta has repeatedly noted, the integration’s political part could happen at the end of this year or the beginning of 2024. If such a forecast is realised, the presidential elections in Russia and several other internal political processes will be questioned.

This digest highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 11th – 17th of September:

1. Results of the Single Voting Day in Russia;

2. Plenary meeting of the Eastern Economic Forum;

3. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with Deputy Prime Minister of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China Zhang Guoqing;

4. Visit of Chairman of State Affairs of the DPRK Kim Jong-un to Russia;

5. Visit of Alexander Lukashenko to Russia;

6. Article by Nikolai Patrushev;

7. Return of General Surovikin to the public.

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